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How This U.S. Debt Downgrade Is Different From 2011 | Weekly Market Commentary | August 14, 2023

How This U.S. Debt Downgrade Is Different From 2011 | Weekly Market Commentary | August 14, 2023

It’s different this time. The four (or five) most dangerous words in investing. We’ll take the risk and use those words here as we break down the recent decision by credit rating agency Fitch to downgrade U.S. government debt to its second-highest rating, AA+ (note...
Key Earnings Season Takeaways | Weekly Market Commentary | August 7, 2023

Key Earnings Season Takeaways | Weekly Market Commentary | August 7, 2023

Earnings season is mostly behind us with about 85% of S&P 500 companies having reported second quarter results. The high level results aren’t particularly impressive, but if we peel back the onion, the numbers are encouraging. Results and guidance probably haven’t...
A Cloudy Outlook Makes For Choppy Markets | Weekly Market Commentary | July 31, 2023

A Cloudy Outlook Makes For Choppy Markets | Weekly Market Commentary | July 31, 2023

The economy is doing better than expected, and the markets are responding accordingly. In this piece, we discuss some of the factors that cause us to think the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked for the last time in this cycle as inflation is receding and the outlook for the...
(Still) Waiting on the Fed | Weekly Market Commentary | July 24, 2023

(Still) Waiting on the Fed | Weekly Market Commentary | July 24, 2023

The first half of the year probably didn’t go the way many fixed income investors had hoped, particularly after the historically awful year last year. It wasn’t a horrible start—more in line with recent years—but expectations were high this year, with many calling...
Earnings Need To Do Some Heavy Lifting To Keep This Rally Going | Weekly Market Commentary | July 17, 2023

Earnings Need To Do Some Heavy Lifting To Keep This Rally Going | Weekly Market Commentary | July 17, 2023

Earnings season is upon us as some banks and a small handful of other blue chip companies have already reported results for their quarters ending June 30. The results on the surface probably won’t offer much to write home about given consensus estimates imply a 7%...
Capital Markets: The Essence of American Capitalism | Weekly Market Commentary | July 03, 2023

Capital Markets: The Essence of American Capitalism | Weekly Market Commentary | July 03, 2023

The long dormant capital markets have recently begun showing signs of interest from institutional investors and deal makers anxious to bring companies to market. While activity remains muted at best, expectations are focused on 2024, when there is a prevailing...
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