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Low Bar for Earnings Season | Weekly Market Commentary | October 17, 2022

Low Bar for Earnings Season | Weekly Market Commentary | October 17, 2022

Expectations are very low for this earnings season. The challenges are many, with intense cost pressures and slowing economic growth at the top of the list. The chorus of analysts and strategists calling for big cuts to estimates has gotten louder. Expect estimates to...
Pockets of Vulnerabilities | Weekly Market Commentary | October 10, 2022

Pockets of Vulnerabilities | Weekly Market Commentary | October 10, 2022

As Federal Reserve (Fed) officials continue to emphasize the Fed’s commitment towards restoring price stability, the dollar marches ever higher. Markets are currently pricing in another 75-basis point rate hike at the November 2 Fed meeting as calls for the Fed to...
Xi Jinping’s Influence to be Tested | Weekly Market Commentary | October 3, 2022

Xi Jinping’s Influence to be Tested | Weekly Market Commentary | October 3, 2022

On October 16, China will begin its 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing. This plenum is especially significant because it is expected that President Xi Jinping will be granted an unprecedented third term, something that he set in motion in...
Taking Advantage of Higher Yields | Weekly Market Commentary | September 26, 2022

Taking Advantage of Higher Yields | Weekly Market Commentary | September 26, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. Now that interest rates have moved substantially higher, we believe opportunities in fixed...
How Much Higher Can Rates Go? | Weekly Market Commentary | September 19, 2022

How Much Higher Can Rates Go? | Weekly Market Commentary | September 19, 2022

Inflationary dynamics continue to surprise to the upside, and markets now expect the Fed to pursue one of its most aggressive rate hiking campaign in years. U.S. Treasury yields continue to move higher as well. We think we’ve seen the biggest moves higher in yields,...
Getting Jobs Market Back into Balance | Weekly Market Commentary | September 12, 2022

Getting Jobs Market Back into Balance | Weekly Market Commentary | September 12, 2022

Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell reiterated his warning that getting inflation under control will require some pain. Powell is likely making these warnings based on the arcane, clunky relationship between inflation and unemployment. The key to getting the market...
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